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Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0xaec3…22df
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 28 resolved bets
🗿
Trader archetype
The Chad
Statistically superior. Methodically profitable.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
89%
PnL
-$25.5K
Volume
$3.1M
Account age
◆ Live book$213.5K at risk · 25 open positions
I
YesIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
@ 98¢$9.2K
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 88¢$900
YesWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
@ 52¢$780
YesWill Iran strike UAE again in March?
@ 77¢$999
W
YesWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?
@ 99¢$99
I
NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
@ 56¢$200
W
NoWill Trump visit China by April 30?
@ 96¢$6.1K
NoIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
@ 55¢$300
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?+$334
Will Anish Giri vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?+$41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?+$35
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?+$33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?+$13
Recent events
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$267
LOSSBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? -$429
LOSSBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? -$500
WINWill Anish Giri vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?+$41
WINWill Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?+$334
WINPakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?+$1
WINWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?+$2
WINWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?+$3
WINWill Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?+$33
WINWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?+$13
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
other100%+$353
🌍geopolitics100%+$5.0K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
50
0xaec3…22df
S
$300NO65c
Pending
50
0xaec3…22df
I
$200NO56c
Pending
50
0xaec3…22df
I
$300NO55c
Pending
50
0xaec3…22df
I
$400NO42c
Pending
50
0xaec3…22df
I
$500NO61c
Pending
64
0xaec3…22df
I
$9,224YES98c
Pending
49
0xaec3…22df
K
$2,053NO100c
WIN$
25
0xaec3…22df
W
$6,033NO100c
LOSS$
54
0xaec3…22df
W
$6,033NO100c
LOSS$
35
0xaec3…22df
W
$1,142NO98c
Pending
44
0xaec3…22df
W
$1,142NO98c
Pending
35
0xaec3…22df
U
$4,265NO94c
Pending
64
0xaec3…22df
U
$4,265NO94c
Pending
40
0xaec3…22df
I
$300NO75c
WIN$
40
0xaec3…22df
W
$200YES97c
WIN$
40
0xaec3…22df
W
$200NO98c
WIN$
40
0xaec3…22df
W
$400NO97c
WIN$
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xaec38658ae47a6aabe8839f40e6d7da7996222df@CrowdIntelXYZ
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