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Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Elias.Thornwell · 0xa667…ceb3
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xcb39…8bc6· 23 resolved bets
🗿
Trader archetype
The Chad
Statistically superior. Methodically profitable.
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
100%
PnL
+$11.0K
Volume
$2.2M
Account age
◆ Live book$42.3K at risk · 698 open positions
W
NoWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
@ 85¢$25
W
NoWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
@ 96¢$23
W
NoWill Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
@ 100¢$5
W
NoWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
@ 73¢$4
W
YesWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
@ 1¢$1
NoBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
@ 99¢$204
W
NoWill Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
@ 100¢$14
H
NoHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
@ 70¢$25
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$170
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?+$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$28
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?+$16
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$16
Recent events
WINWill Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?-$0
LOSSSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?-$0
WINHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?+$30
WINWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?-$0
WINWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?+$0
WINWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?+$1
WINWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026-$0
LOSSEdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?-$0
WINNothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition-$0
WINWill Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?-$0
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
💰finance75%+$2.1K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$198NO100c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$356NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$950NO100c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$138NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$181NO100c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$156NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$699NO98c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$168NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$253NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$981NO91c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
M
$208YES90c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
U
$144NO98c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$618NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$343NO91c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$236YES84c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$256NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
T
$1,839NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$1,890NO96c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$3,344NO99c
Pending
50
0xa667…ceb3
W
$567YES93c
Pending
35
0xa667…ceb3
U
$20,874YES99c
Pending
35
0xa667…ceb3
U
$19,540YES100c
Pending
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