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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
mm4ker · 0x8c57…f939
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
◆ Live book
NoHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
@ 40¢$246M
NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
@ 75¢$130
NoWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
@ 84¢$5.2KNoWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
@ 98¢$2.9K
NoUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
@ 75¢$140
NoUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
@ 72¢$51
NoKash Patel out by December 31?
@ 38¢$19
NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
@ 75¢$187◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 14?+$1.1K
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?+$322
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?+$119
Recent events
LOSSWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?-$250
WINWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?+$119
WINWill another country strike Iran by March 31?+$322
LOSSWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?-$15
LOSSWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?-$5
LOSSWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?-$40
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 14?+$1.1K
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 | 0x8c57…f939 | W | $1,947 | NO | 97c | Pending | — | — | — |
36 | 0x8c57…f939 | U | $3,400 | NO | 59c | Pending | — | — | — |
46 | 0x8c57…f939 | W | $3,000 | NO | 88c | Pending | — | — | — |
46 | 0x8c57…f939 | W | $2,000 | NO | 86c | Pending | — | — | — |