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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown

CeasefireLover · 0x8476…5418
Polymarket operator. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 1 resolved bets
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
100%
PnL
+$36.8K
Volume
$2.6M
Account age
◆ Live book$1.0M at risk · 9 open positions
YesWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
@ 0¢$4
NoWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
@ 95¢$973
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 0¢$59
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 100¢$2.7K
YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 100¢$29.9K
NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
@ 96¢$6.0K
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
@ 79¢$40
YesIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
@ 100¢$7.8K
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$34
Recent events
WINWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$34
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
44
0x8476…5418
U
$29,880YES100c
Pending
40
0x8476…5418
U
$29,880YES100c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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