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Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
Kurald-Galain · 0x81d1…4e30
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
4W
in a row
◆ Live book
NoHungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
@ 12¢$10W
YesWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
@ 28¢$3
NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
@ 42¢$126
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 99¢$122
NoStarmer out by December 31, 2026?
@ 51¢$601
NoWill Iran strike UAE again in March?
@ 37¢$111YesWill Iran strike UAE again in March?
@ 84¢$21
NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
@ 80¢$80◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$47
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$31
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?+$26
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$31
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$47
WINWill Trump say "Third term" in March?+$26
WINStarmer out by March 31, 2026?-$1
LOSSWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?-$105
LOSSKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?-$2
LOSSWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?-$6
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | 0x81d1…4e30 | U | $446 | NO | 22c | Pending | — | — | — |
25 | 0x81d1…4e30 | U | $205 | NO | 23c | Pending | — | — | — |