Live
Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown

kapay · 0x5fdf…28a2
Polymarket operator. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 16 resolved bets
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Win rate
56%
PnL
+$1.2K
Volume
$423.5K
Account age
◆ Live book$21.6K at risk · 131 open positions
U
NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 73¢$1.0K
W
YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 12?
@ 24¢$8
YesWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 20?
@ 38¢$97
DownBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
@ 51¢$96
W
YesWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 12?
@ 40¢$12
W
YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?
@ 7¢$3
B
DownBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
@ 54¢$97
W
YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?
@ 51¢$15
◆ Track record
Top calls
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET+$191
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET+$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET+$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET+$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET+$89
Recent events
LOSSWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 4?-$4
WINWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on April 2?+$2
WINBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET+$89
WINBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET+$191
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET-$249
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET-$290
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET-$97
WINWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C or below on April 1?+$3
WINBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET+$150
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET-$96
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
39
0x5fdf…28a2
W
$2,291NO83c
Pending
49
0x5fdf…28a2
I
$1,225NO80c
Pending
28
0x5fdf…28a2
W
$1,308NO100c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x5fdf53c267dc00e8e97f30e9eec169fede0228a2@CrowdIntelXYZ
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0