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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Laurenman · 0x54a7…881b
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0x1af1…3956· 18 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
100%
PnL
-$46.5K
Volume
$7.3M
Account age
11W
in a row
◆ Live book$326.8K at risk · 87 open positions
W
NoWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
@ 24¢$362
U
NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 85¢$1.2K
U
NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 84¢$1.5K
W
NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
@ 56¢$1.1K
W
NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
@ 90¢$1.6K
W
NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?
@ 98¢$444
W
YesWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
@ 93¢$780
T
NoTrump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
@ 92¢$126
◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.1K
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$283
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$260
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$257
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$222
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.1K
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$260
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$38
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 4, 2026?+$2
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 3, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 3, 2026?+$1
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 2, 2026?+$18
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?+$3
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics70%+$8.4K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
50
0x54a7…881b
U
$370NO99c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
U
$873NO97c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
K
$656NO96c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
I
$819NO85c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
I
$801NO89c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
S
$567NO63c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
S
$110NO37c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
W
$638NO91c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
W
$780YES93c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
I
$819NO91c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
I
$336NO91c
Pending
50
0x54a7…881b
W
$810NO90c
Pending
74
0x54a7…881b
W
$1,222NO95c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
W
$1,149NO88c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
W
$1,260NO84c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
U
$2,332NO84c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
W
$1,820NO91c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
I
$1,365NO91c
Pending
54
0x54a7…881b
U
$1,370NO88c
Pending
64
0x54a7…881b
W
$6,281YES99c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b@CrowdIntelXYZ
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