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Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · insider
Share Polygonscan

Asphaleios · 0x5462…eed6
Suspected insider. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 5 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in us-politics
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
60%
PnL
+$24.5K
Volume
$588.5K
Account age
—
◆ Live book$6.4K at risk · 10 open positions
YesWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 8¢$704
YesWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 1¢$26
YesWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
@ 70¢$262
NoWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
@ 38¢$68
NoWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
@ 66¢$30
YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 21¢$2.3K
NoWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 60¢$1.2K
YesWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 6¢$17
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?+$1.1K
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?+$1.0K
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?+$288
Recent events
WINWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?+$1.0K
LOSSWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?-$67
LOSSWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?-$272
WINWill People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?+$288
LOSSWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?-$1.1K
LOSSWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?-$1.2K
WINWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?+$1.1K
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🏛us-politics41%+$3.9K
🌍geopolitics0%-$4.2K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
corporate·4 wallets·99% WRus-politics·10 wallets·98% WRfinance·12 wallets·99% WRtech·13 wallets·99% WRgeopolitics·30 wallets·87% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
58
0x5462…eed6
W
$2,291YES20c
Pending
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33
0x5462…eed6
W
$1,376YES39c
Pending
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33
0x5462…eed6
W
$1,200NO60c
Pending
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crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x54624426b2f4b0c3afd4c83306faaf7f7b47eed6@CrowdIntelXYZ
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