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Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale
Share Polygonscan

0x4f23…90db
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xabb2…cd10· 7 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Win rate
86%
PnL
+$3.7K
Volume
$2.5M
Account age
—
8W
in a row
◆ Live book$502.6K at risk · 34 open positions
W
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 99¢$19.8K
NoWill Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
@ 96¢$6
M
YesMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 98¢$230
YesWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
@ 24¢$23
W
YesWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
@ 96¢$152
W
NoWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
@ 48¢$4
W
YesWill Trump visit China by April 30?
@ 1¢$0
U
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 97¢$6.1K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$135
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$128
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$89
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$83
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$43
Recent events
WINIran leadership change by March 31?+$128
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$83
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$89
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$25
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$43
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$135
WINWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on March 21?+$5
WINIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?+$36
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics95%+$6.3K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
finance·3 wallets·87% WRus-politics·2 wallets·82% WRgeopolitics·6 wallets·95% WRcrypto·16 wallets·98% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
31
0x4f23…90db
I
$1,493NO96c
Pending
———
71
0x4f23…90db
C
$1,785YES12c
Pending
———
54
0x4f23…90db
C
$1,785YES12c
Pending
———
64
0x4f23…90db
W
$19,840YES99c
Pending
———
41
0x4f23…90db
U
$8,668YES93c
Pending
———
59
0x4f23…90db
U
$8,668YES93c
Pending
———
41
0x4f23…90db
U
$10,989YES99c
Pending
———
59
0x4f23…90db
U
$10,989YES99c
Pending
———
41
0x4f23…90db
U
$6,084NO97c
Pending
———
54
0x4f23…90db
U
$6,084NO97c
Pending
———
46
0x4f23…90db
I
$1,079NO90c
Pending
———
44
0x4f23…90db
I
$1,079NO90c
Pending
———
35
0x4f23…90db
U
$4,965NO99c
WIN$
———
35
0x4f23…90db
U
$13,257NO99c
WIN$
———
35
0x4f23…90db
U
$3,870NO99c
WIN$
———
25
0x4f23…90db
C
$2,204YES17c
Pending
———
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x4f23a0976493be385412ce9a6b93841ee2c090db@CrowdIntelXYZ
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