CrowdIntelLive
Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
RolandChang · 0x4d1b…1419
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
◆ Live book
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 97¢$1.1K
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 64¢$239
NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 89¢$163
NoWill Claude go down 6-8 times in April?
@ 95¢$281
YesWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
@ 98¢$69
NoWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
@ 37¢$60W
YesWill Google say "YouTube" during earnings call?
@ 98¢$196
NoChatGPT Outage by April 10?
@ 59¢$108◆ Track record
Top calls
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$76
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$55
Recent events
WINWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$55
WINWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$76
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 0x4d1b…1419 | I | $1,744 | NO | 88c | Pending | — | — | — |