CrowdIntelLive
Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
eggeg · 0x4867…a6f8
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
◆ Live book
YesUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
@ 1¢$0
NoWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
@ 96¢$388W
YesWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
@ 94¢$114
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
@ 90¢$80
NoWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 96¢$10
NoWill Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
@ 93¢$5YesWill Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
@ 6¢$32NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
@ 94¢$228◆ Track record
Top calls
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 2?+$2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 2?+$0
Recent events
LOSSWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?-$1
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$63
LOSSIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?-$9
WINWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?+$1
WINWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 2?+$0
WINWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 2?+$2
LOSSS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?-$1
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$66
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$36
LOSSIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?-$25
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 0x4867…a6f8 | U | $1,850 | NO | 97c | Pending | — | — | — |