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Case file · Apr 29 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0x45a2…3c01
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 11 resolved bets
🤖
Trader archetype
The Bot
Mechanical precision. Suspiciously consistent.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
100%
PnL
-$5.2K
Volume
$7.4M
Account age
◆ Live book$135.7K at risk · 45 open positions
W
NoWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
@ 2¢$4
W
NoWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
@ 2¢$10
W
YesWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
@ 97¢$881
W
YesWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
@ 98¢$230
M
NoMilitary action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?
@ 100¢$991
M
NoMilitary action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?
@ 99¢$71
NoMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 1¢$39
NoMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 2¢$41
◆ Track record
Top calls
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?+$164
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?+$129
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?+$118
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?+$31
Military action against Iran ends by April 2, 2026?+$1
Recent events
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?+$0
LOSSMilitary action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?-$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?+$0
WINMilitary action against Iran ends by April 2, 2026?+$1
WINMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?+$164
WINMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?+$118
LOSSMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?-$2
LOSSMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?-$16
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
💰finance100%+$11.0K
🌍geopolitics64%+$22.8K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
35
0x45a2…3c01
M
$1,620YES99c
LOSS$
50
0x45a2…3c01
W
$4,740YES86c
Pending
50
0x45a2…3c01
W
$4,448YES84c
Pending
50
0x45a2…3c01
W
$1,770YES84c
Pending
50
0x45a2…3c01
W
$2,711YES86c
Pending
25
0x45a2…3c01
W
$6,472YES85c
Pending
25
0x45a2…3c01
W
$2,379YES82c
Pending
25
0x45a2…3c01
W
$1,185YES81c
Pending
25
0x45a2…3c01
W
$1,574YES83c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x45a22737a76fafd5dd101eb0dc6030986eb13c01@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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