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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Qwiao · 0x449c…879e
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0x1929…d215· 3 resolved bets
Win rate
100%
PnL
-$2.9K
Volume
$1.9M
Account age
◆ Live book$205.2K at risk · 95 open positions
W
YesWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
@ 20¢$51
YesIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
@ 89¢$1.1K
YesIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
@ 98¢$1.2K
W
NoWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
@ 14¢$45
T
NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
@ 77¢$559
I
NoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
@ 22¢$27
I
YesIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
@ 100¢$2.0K
U
NoUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
@ 59¢$479
◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.1K
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.1K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$204
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$204
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$3
LOSSWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?-$61
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics0%-$882
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
40
0x449c…879e
S
$2,366YES28c
Pending
40
0x449c…879e
S
$1,600YES32c
Pending
40
0x449c…879e
S
$1,450YES29c
Pending
50
0x449c…879e
U
$7,216NO81c
Pending
50
0x449c…879e
U
$1,794YES70c
Pending
25
0x449c…879e
U
$1,074YES13c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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