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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
okada · 0x3cb1…5e96
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
◆ Live book
W
YesWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
@ 93¢$632
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 99¢$837
YesWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
@ 87¢$1.1K
YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
@ 92¢$800
YesWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
@ 83¢$500
YesNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
@ 96¢$1.4K
NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
@ 86¢$2.3KNoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
@ 66¢$996◆ Track record
Top calls
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?+$173
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$167
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?+$101
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?+$45
Recent events
WINHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?+$173
WINWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?+$45
WINWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?+$101
LOSSWill another country strike Iran by March 31?-$63
LOSSTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?-$24
WINTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$167
LOSSTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?-$33
LOSSWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?-$19
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 0x3cb1…5e96 | W | $2,022 | NO | 97c | LOSS | — | — | — |