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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
thares · 0x1442…5a8f
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
◆ Live book
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 89¢$500
NoIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
@ 15¢$998W
NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
@ 88¢$1.8K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 92¢$3.8KNoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 75¢$911
NoIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
@ 92¢$1.2K
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
@ 45¢$900
NoWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
@ 67¢$335◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$659
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$371
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$337
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$236
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$153
Recent events
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$189
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$4
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$38
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$153
LOSSUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?-$44
WINUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?+$78
WINIran leadership change by March 31?+$236
LOSSIran leadership change by March 31?-$144
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$18
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$36
◆ Category edge
🌍geopolitics44%+$1.6K
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 0x1442…5a8f | U | $1,045 | NO | 35c | Pending | — | — | — |