Live
Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · insider

matematemate · 0x053d…caed
Suspected insider. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 6 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Win rate
100%
PnL
+$4.6K
Volume
$125.2K
Account age
5W
in a row
◆ Live book$76.8K at risk · 60 open positions
U
YesUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 27¢$123
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
@ 62¢$1.8K
I
NoIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
@ 23¢$2.9K
T
YesTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
@ 25¢$173
T
YesTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
@ 10¢$118
W
NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
@ 80¢$1.5K
W
YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
@ 9¢$428
W
YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
@ 25¢$1
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$414
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$236
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$236
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$230
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$174
Recent events
WINIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$159
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$230
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$414
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$236
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$174
LOSSCrude Oil all time high by March 31?-$12
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$44
WINWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$112
WINTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$236
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics80%+$2.5K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 20 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
64
0x053d…caed
U
$1,900YES19c
Pending
39
0x053d…caed
U
$1,827YES62c
Pending
74
0x053d…caed
U
$9,074YES21c
Pending
64
0x053d…caed
U
$1,138YES23c
Pending
64
0x053d…caed
U
$1,573YES28c
Pending
74
0x053d…caed
U
$6,187YES29c
Pending
64
0x053d…caed
U
$1,721YES29c
Pending
39
0x053d…caed
I
$1,001NO83c
Pending
39
0x053d…caed
W
$1,020NO85c
Pending
33
0x053d…caed
W
$3,600NO90c
Pending
33
0x053d…caed
W
$1,172YES45c
Pending
34
0x053d…caed
U
$1,516NO91c
Pending
49
0x053d…caed
W
$3,080NO77c
Pending
49
0x053d…caed
W
$1,574NO88c
Pending
49
0x053d…caed
W
$2,036NO86c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x053d499d08527a2558e0096f6f7fc1754a3ecaed@CrowdIntelXYZ
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0