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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 011May 20, 2026

Trader Report — WordleAddict

WordleAddict·live profile →
◆ Summary

WordleAddict has settled 2,053 bets on Polymarket at a 61.8% win rate for +$542K of net P&L, on $68.56M of total volume. 70% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 14s between fills, 43% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($68.56M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 70% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 147 unique markets across 5 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,047
Unique markets entered147
Closed positions283
Open positions17
Wins / Losses0 / 14
Win rate61.8%
Total USDC invested$620.9K
Total USDC recovered$76.6K
Net PnL (closed only)-$544.4K
ROI (closed only)-87.7%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap14sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills43.5%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour11:00369 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$15
Mean bet$2.6K
P95 bet$5.5K
Max bet$870.2K
Top 5% share87.5%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)70.4%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)9.7%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share26.7%of total notional
Both-sides rate4.8%of markets hedged
Active days83/ 116d span
Trades / active day48
◆ Open Positions$1.4M at risk · 17 open
Yes@96¢$1.1Kheld 40.9d · since 4/9/2026
Yes@99¢$378.1Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@99¢$13.1Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@38¢$1.5Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@85¢$25.4Kheld 45.3d · since 4/4/2026
Yes@100¢$880.6Kheld 45.3d · since 4/4/2026
Yes@26¢$7.7Kheld 59.8d · since 3/21/2026
Yes@55¢$891held 42.7d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@36¢$11.9Kheld 32.1d · since 4/18/2026
Yes@30¢$7.9Kheld 32.1d · since 4/18/2026
Katie Volynets@32¢$2.2Kheld 35.7d · since 4/14/2026
Yes@34¢$3.1Kheld 53.5d · since 3/27/2026
No@71¢$7.6Kheld 31.7d · since 4/18/2026
Yes@45¢$5.4Kheld 31.7d · since 4/18/2026
Yes@40¢$9.7Kheld 31.7d · since 4/18/2026
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-2020200W/0L
2026-05-1944440W/0L
2026-05-18880W/0L
2026-05-17220W/0L
2026-05-16110W/0L
2026-05-15440W/0L
2026-05-02220W/0L
2026-04-2779790W/0L
2026-04-26990W/0L
2026-04-25220W/0L
2026-04-2413130W/0L
2026-04-2321210W/0L
2026-04-2210100W/0L
2026-04-2144440W/0L
2026-04-20330W/0L
2026-04-1913130W/0L
2026-04-1856560W/0L
2026-04-17110W/0L
2026-04-15110W/0L
2026-04-1457570W/0L
2026-04-1316160W/0L
2026-04-1230300W/0L
2026-04-1058580W/0L
2026-04-0937370W/0L
2026-04-0838380W/0L
2026-04-0776760W/0L
2026-04-0614140W/0L
2026-04-04550W/0L
2026-04-0326260W/0L
2026-04-023114170W/14L$179-$179-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$542.4K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
CRITICALwhale
0xe25b...0f1b
3332 trades
70whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 62% across 2053 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (60% WR)
4 linked wallets — part of a coordinated cluster
Win Rate62%1269/2053
P&L+$542.4K
Volume$68.6M
Printing

Open Now

$4.5M at risk
+12 more

Top Calls

UUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.5K
Cluster Intel4 wallets linked via funding

Recent Events

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Apr 7, 26
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CategoryBetsWRP&L
Politics641946%-$2.1M
Other572147%-$275.3K
Sports45745%-$33.9K
Crypto50440%-$31.8K
Finance12057%-$24.8K
sports660%+$20.0K
geopolitics4220%-$14.8K
entertainment4100%+$25

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 91% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 6 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Bet Size+30
Win Rate+15
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total70
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track WordleAddict live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

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Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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