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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 011May 20, 2026

Trader File — WordleAddict

WordleAddict·live profile →
◆ Summary

WordleAddict has settled 2,053 bets on Polymarket at a 61.8% win rate for +$542K of net P&L, on $68.56M of total volume. 70% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 14s between fills, 43% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($68.56M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 70% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 147 unique markets across 5 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,047
Unique markets entered147
Resolved bets
Open positions17
Wins / Losses
Win rate61.8%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap14sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills43.5%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour11:00369 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$15
Mean bet$2.6K
P95 bet$5.5K
Max bet$870.2K
Top 5% share87.5%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)70.4%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)9.7%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share26.7%of total notional
Both-sides rate4.8%of markets hedged
Active days83/ 116d span
Trades / active day48
◆ Open Positions$1.4M at risk · 17 open · 5 shown
Yes@96¢$1.1Kheld 40.9d · since 4/9/2026
Yes@99¢$378.1Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@99¢$13.1Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@38¢$1.5Kheld 42.2d · since 4/7/2026
Yes@85¢$25.4Kheld 45.3d · since 4/4/2026
Pro · Locked

Unlock the full open book

The other 12 open positions — market, side, entry price, size and hold age.

◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 30 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
WordleAddict

WordleAddict

0xe25b...0f1b
active 4mo ago62% WR+$542.4K PnL
Profit / Loss
+$542.4K
All time · per polymarket · curve from Apr 5

Where the edge is · win rate by category

💰 finance
57% ·120
other
47% ·5721
politics
46% ·6419
sports
45% ·463
Portfolio Value
$4.5M
17 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate62%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor1.98
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$68.6M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets33322053 resolved
Markets2702
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 62% across 2053 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (60% WR)
4 linked wallets — part of a coordinated cluster
Behaviour
🐋
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$5.8K average position
Consistency1.98x profit factor
Edge sourceSports · 60% win rate

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

15L streak
0/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track WordleAddict live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

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Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
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Beta
···v0.1.0
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WordleAddict — Polymarket Trader File | CrowdIntel