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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 022May 20, 2026

Trader Report — TheVeryGoodCow

TheVeryGoodCow·live profile →
◆ Summary

TheVeryGoodCow has settled 214 bets on Polymarket at a 89.7% win rate for +$319K of net P&L, on $7.81M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 30s between fills, 31% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a shark ($7.81M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 1,210 unique markets across 6 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🦈
Shark
Large enough that liquidity has to find it.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,995
Unique markets entered1,210
Closed positions104
Open positions0
Wins / Losses21 / 83
Win rate89.7%
Total USDC invested$27.6K
Total USDC recovered$7.0K
Net PnL (closed only)-$20.6K
ROI (closed only)-74.6%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap30sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills31.0%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour21:00476 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$29
Mean bet$216
P95 bet$989
Max bet$19.8K
Top 5% share62.8%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)53.8%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)10.1%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.4%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share8.5%of total notional
Both-sides rate13.3%of markets hedged
Active days27/ 41d span
Trades / active day148
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 27 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-20880W/0L
2026-05-1945450W/0L
2026-05-1818180W/0L
2026-05-172602600W/0L
2026-05-161381380W/0L
2026-05-154164160W/0L
2026-05-02660W/0L
2026-04-2827270W/0L
2026-04-2728280W/0L
2026-04-2671710W/0L
2026-04-2560600W/0L
2026-04-241141140W/0L
2026-04-231241240W/0L
2026-04-2271710W/0L
2026-04-2160600W/0L
2026-04-2043430W/0L
2026-04-19571495227W/42L$6.3K-$5.3K-83.8%
2026-04-181241240W/0L
2026-04-1710941051W/3L$1.2K-$972-83.4%
2026-04-161984715111W/36L$10.5K-$9.7K-92.6%
2026-04-1540400W/0L
2026-04-14184142W/2L$9.7K-$4.7K-48.2%
2026-04-13660W/0L
2026-04-123793790W/0L
2026-04-114404400W/0L
2026-04-103733730W/0L
2026-04-092482480W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$319.3K
All time · per polymarket
HIGHwhale
0x033f...618e
638 trades
50whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 90% across 214 resolved bets
◆ Strongest edge in other (100% WR)
Win Rate90%192/214
P&L+$319.3K
Volume$7.8M
Printing
2L streak
recent

Top Calls

WWill Jordan Spieth win the 2026 RBC Heritage?+$181
WWill Ricky Castillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?+$2
WWill Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 RBC Heritage?+$2
WWill Jordan Spieth win the 2026 RBC Heritage?+$1
WWill Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 RBC Heritage?+$1

Recent Events

?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
W
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Apr 16, 26
+$0WIN
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
W
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Apr 16, 26
+$2WIN
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 16, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports82187%-$21.6K
us politics4389%+$693
entertainment7464%+$40
other165100%+$36
tech100%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 1 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+10
Activity Level+10
Total50
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track TheVeryGoodCow live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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