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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 003May 20, 2026

Trader Report — S-Works

◆ Summary

S-Works has settled 65 bets on Polymarket at a 60.0% win rate for +$2.34M of net P&L, on $164.72M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 61% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($164.72M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 277 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,971
Unique markets entered277
Closed positions385
Open positions3
Wins / Losses3 / 382
Win rate60.0%
Total USDC invested$269.1K
Total USDC recovered$2.9K
Net PnL (closed only)-$266.2K
ROI (closed only)-98.9%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap4sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills60.6%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00880 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$15
Mean bet$2.6K
P95 bet$5.5K
Max bet$999.0K
Top 5% share91.6%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)42.5%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)42.5%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share12.9%of total notional
Both-sides rate10.5%of markets hedged
Active days27/ 45d span
Trades / active day148
◆ Open Positions$40.9K at risk · 3 open
GamerLegion@41¢$614held 29.8d · since 4/20/2026
Team Falcons@54¢$38.7Kheld 29.7d · since 4/20/2026
Team Spirit@41¢$1.5Kheld 30.6d · since 4/19/2026
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 27 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-1964640W/0L
2026-05-18110W/0L
2026-05-1773730W/0L
2026-05-161151150W/0L
2026-05-1510100W/0L
2026-04-27110W/0L
2026-04-261691690W/0L
2026-04-2556560W/0L
2026-04-2429290W/0L
2026-04-2317170W/0L
2026-04-2237370W/0L
2026-04-2145450W/0L
2026-04-2049490W/0L
2026-04-191011010W/0L
2026-04-182882880W/0L
2026-04-171521520W/0L
2026-04-151381380W/0L
2026-04-141881880W/0L
2026-04-131681680W/0L
2026-04-121241240W/0L
2026-04-114134130W/0L
2026-04-102202200W/0L
2026-04-092812810W/0L
2026-04-082012010W/0L
2026-04-073611502112W/148L$118.2K-$115.5K-97.7%
2026-04-065882213671W/220L$147.7K-$147.5K-99.9%
2026-04-058214680W/14L$3.2K-$3.2K-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$2.3M
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0xee00...cea1
5313 trades
55whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 60% across 65 resolved bets
🌍 Strongest edge in geopolitics (84% WR)
Win Rate60%39/65
P&L+$2.3M
Volume$164.7M
Printing

Open Now

$3.7M at risk

Recent Events

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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
geopolitics2584%+$36.2K
sports6777%+$14.6K
Politics350%-$74
Other3121%-$1

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Bet Size+30
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total55
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track S-Works live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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