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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 008May 20, 2026

Trader Report — RememberAmalek

RememberAmalek·live profile →
◆ Summary

RememberAmalek has settled 76 bets on Polymarket at a 63.2% win rate for +$803K of net P&L, on $24.18M of total volume. 66% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($24.18M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 66% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 203 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,081
Unique markets entered203
Closed positions4
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate63.2%
Total USDC invested$3.4K
Total USDC recovered$3.3K
Net PnL (closed only)-$101
ROI (closed only)-3.0%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap1.4 minbetween fills
Sub-10s fills27.3%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour20:00345 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$8
Mean bet$284
P95 bet$860
Max bet$139.9K
Top 5% share76.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)66.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)11.7%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)8.5%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share12.8%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days35/ 51d span
Trades / active day114
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-1965650W/0L
2026-05-1857570W/0L
2026-05-1759590W/0L
2026-05-162602600W/0L
2026-05-1574740W/0L
2026-04-2840400W/0L
2026-04-2764640W/0L
2026-04-2648480W/0L
2026-04-251311310W/0L
2026-04-2475750W/0L
2026-04-2344440W/0L
2026-04-222052050W/0L
2026-04-214734730W/0L
2026-04-2010100W/0L
2026-04-1926260W/0L
2026-04-1890900W/0L
2026-04-171541540W/0L
2026-04-161381380W/0L
2026-04-151071070W/0L
2026-04-143753750W/0L
2026-04-1366660W/0L
2026-04-12330W/0L
2026-04-1133330W/0L
2026-04-1019190W/0L
2026-04-09440W/0L
2026-04-081151150W/0L
2026-04-071831830W/0L
2026-04-06550W/0L
2026-04-0526260W/0L
2026-04-0416160W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$803.0K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
MEDIUMwhale
0x6139...6b7a
922 trades
40whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 63% across 76 resolved bets
◆ Strongest edge in Finance (100% WR)
Win Rate63%48/76
P&L+$803.0K
Volume$24.2M
Printing

Top Calls

UUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$1
WWill there be at least 1625 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?+$0
WWill there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?+$0

Recent Events

U
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Apr 5, 26
-$1.1KLOSS
U
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Apr 5, 26
-$550LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
Other91112%-$195.1K
Politics342829%+$73.5K
Finance21100%+$5.8K
Crypto11137%+$5.3K
geopolitics4056%+$2.3K
science6100%+$52
us politics12100%+$13

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 23 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+15
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total40
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track RememberAmalek live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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