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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 019May 20, 2026

Trader Report — qrpenc

◆ Summary

qrpenc has settled 502 bets on Polymarket at a 67.7% win rate for +$333K of net P&L, on $225.76M of total volume. 100% of capital sits below 30¢ — longshot bets where the wallet is taking the underdog side. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 80% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($225.76M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 176 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades1
Unique markets entered176
Closed positions396
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 1
Win rate67.7%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)-$0
ROI (closed only)-100.0%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills79.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour07:00313 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$0
Mean bet$15
P95 bet$33
Max bet$14.5K
Top 5% share86.3%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)0.0%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)0.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)100.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share27.3%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days23/ 24d span
Trades / active day174
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 1 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2024-11-12110W/1L$0-$0-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$332.6K
All time · per polymarket
LOW
0x4ce7...abad
3814 trades
0whale score
Strong win rate — 68% across 502 resolved bets
◆ Strongest edge in Crypto (88% WR)
Win Rate68%340/502
P&L+$332.6K
Volume$225.8M
Printing
CategoryBetsWRP&L
Politics8964646%-$3.4M
Other94929%-$1.9M
Finance229821%-$40.4K
Crypto7788%+$54
Sports11760%-$50

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
winno resolved activity in last 90 days
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track qrpenc live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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