CrowdIntelTrader Report — piston777
piston777 has settled 58 bets on Polymarket at a 91.4% win rate for +$440K of net P&L, on $54.29M of total volume. 93% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge.
Classified as a whale ($54.29M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. The price-band distribution is the tell: 93% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Across 57 markets total. 8-signal classification: heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | ROI | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | 115 | — | 115 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | 386 | — | 386 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | 37 | — | 37 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-17 | 353 | — | 353 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-16 | 471 | — | 471 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 13 | — | 13 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 462 | — | 462 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-27 | 417 | — | 417 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 598 | — | 598 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-25 | 253 | — | 253 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
Recent Events
P&L Calendar · 90 days
Evidence
whaleStats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
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Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.