Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 032May 20, 2026

Trader Report — oVyg7f

◆ Summary

oVyg7f has settled 2,743 bets on Polymarket at a 72.9% win rate for +$231K of net P&L, on $43.55M of total volume. 67% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 80% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($43.55M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. The price-band distribution is the tell: 67% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 1,377 unique markets across 11 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades1,869
Unique markets entered1,377
Closed positions15
Open positions79
Wins / Losses2 / 8
Win rate72.9%
Total USDC invested$61
Total USDC recovered$11
Net PnL (closed only)-$50
ROI (closed only)-82.4%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills79.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour16:00433 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$0
Mean bet$8
P95 bet$40
Max bet$319
Top 5% share62.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)67.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)4.7%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)2.3%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share4.0%of total notional
Both-sides rate2.0%of markets hedged
Active days18/ 21d span
Trades / active day222
◆ Open Positions$443 at risk · 79 open
No@100¢$113held 41.8d · since 4/8/2026
No@100¢$113held 41.8d · since 4/8/2026
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 2 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-04-089309300W/0L
2026-04-07939109292W/8L$61-$50-82.4%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$231.3K
All time · per polymarket
📉
8L
losing run
HIGH
0x5f39...a78c
20325 trades
64whale score
Elite win rate — 73% across 2743 resolved bets
🔬 Strongest edge in tech (93% WR)
Win Rate73%2001/2743
P&L+$231.3K
Volume$43.5M
Printing

Open Now

$4.0K at risk
+74 more

Top Calls

WWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 7?+$0
WWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 7?+$0
WWill the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on April 7?+$0
WWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 7?+$0
WWill Scott Drew be the next UNC Men's Basketball head coach?+$0

Recent Events

?
Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 8, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
W
Will Scott Drew be the next UNC Men's Basketball head coach?
Apr 7, 26
+$0WIN
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
Other269525%-$164.7K
Politics765233%+$18.3K
Crypto6256%+$2.7K
Finance95739%+$1.1K
sports132461%+$818
other723975%+$191
geopolitics42871%-$188
entertainment20477%-$27

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+34
Market Category+20
Activity Level+10
Total64
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track oVyg7f live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0

CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback