Trader File — operationcastle
operationcastle has settled 51 bets on Polymarket at a 60.8% win rate for +$535K of net P&L, on $14.88M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 61% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($14.88M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 72 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.
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operationcastle
PolymarketWhere the edge is · win rate by category
Profile & edge
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Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
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superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.