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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 034May 20, 2026

Trader Report — nz7

◆ Summary

nz7 has settled 41 bets on Polymarket at a 68.3% win rate for +$211K of net P&L, on $31.35M of total volume. 69% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 69% sub-10s, active across 96% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($31.35M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. 69% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Across 72 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🧭
Generalist
A few sectors, well spread.
Strategy verdict
automated · mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,787
Unique markets entered72
Closed positions3,648
Open positions3
Wins / Losses11 / 3543
Win rate68.3%
Total USDC invested$1.6M
Total USDC recovered$292.2K
Net PnL (closed only)-$1.3M
ROI (closed only)-81.8%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap4sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills69.3%machine-tempo
Hour coverage96%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour19:00792 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$14
Mean bet$804
P95 bet$2.0K
Max bet$129.5K
Top 5% share88.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)1.2%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)69.3%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)6.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share11.9%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days21/ 36d span
Trades / active day190
◆ Open Positions$4 at risk · 3 open
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 11 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-04-20770W/0L
2026-04-1855550W/0L
2026-04-1611110W/0L
2026-03-23110W/1L$840-$840-100.0%
2026-03-22515488271W/487L$238.3K-$221.3K-92.8%
2026-03-21626597295W/592L$522.5K-$360.1K-68.9%
2026-03-203213212W/319L$128.6K-$94.7K-73.7%
2026-03-1939739520W/395L$198.6K-$198.6K-100.0%
2026-03-181029958710W/958L$137.8K-$137.8K-100.0%
2026-03-174094090W/409L$200.0K-$200.0K-100.0%
2026-03-16416385313W/382L$179.4K-$100.8K-56.2%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$210.9K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
MEDIUMwhale
0x72b4...7d67
44 trades
45whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 68% across 41 resolved bets
◆ Strongest edge in other (60% WR)
Win Rate68%28/41
P&L+$210.9K
Volume$31.4M
Printing

Open Now

$115.8K at risk

Recent Events

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CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports4843%+$100.3K
other760%+$9.3K

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Market Category-20
Total Volume+15
Bet Size+10
Activity Level+10
Total45
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track nz7 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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