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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 016May 20, 2026

Trader Report — LynxTitan

LynxTitan·live profile →
◆ Summary

LynxTitan has settled 50 bets on Polymarket at a 74.0% win rate for +$388K of net P&L, on $92.75M of total volume. 54% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 2s between fills, 80% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($92.75M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. 54% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Spread across 504 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,034
Unique markets entered504
Closed positions0
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate74.0%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)+$0
ROI (closed only)
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap2sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills80.2%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour09:001,034 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$5
Mean bet$30
P95 bet$124
Max bet$915
Top 5% share43.0%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)11.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)54.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)5.7%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share5.8%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days4/ 6d span
Trades / active day1000
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 4 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-0368680W/0L
2026-05-023213210W/0L
2026-05-0129290W/0L
2026-04-28261626160W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$387.6K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0x6814...a9e7
645 trades
50whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 74% across 50 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (59% WR)
Win Rate74%37/50
P&L+$387.6K
Volume$92.7M
Printing

Recent Events

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Apr 8, 26
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CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports415659%-$2.2K
Other1025%-$123
geopolitics9940%-$7
other2750%-$6
entertainment22950%
us politics2820%
finance2410%
tech1550%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+10
Activity Level+10
Total50
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track LynxTitan live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0

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