CrowdIntelTrader Report — Kevindoto
Kevindoto has settled 30 bets on Polymarket at a 60.0% win rate for +$327K of net P&L, on $12.72M of total volume. 74% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 40s between fills, 26% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($12.72M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 74% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 285 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | ROI | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 44 | — | 44 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-17 | 14 | — | 14 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-16 | 31 | — | 31 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | 20 | — | 20 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | 21 | — | 21 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-23 | 7 | — | 7 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | 8 | — | 8 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-21 | 50 | — | 50 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-19 | 132 | — | 132 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-18 | 64 | — | 64 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | 61 | — | 61 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-12 | 52 | — | 52 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-11 | 81 | — | 81 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-10 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-09 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-07 | 37 | — | 37 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-05 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-03 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-02 | 27 | — | 27 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | 20 | — | 20 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 7 | 7 | — | 2W/5L | $3.0K | -$1.5K | -50.1% | — |
| 2026-03-30 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-29 | 7 | — | 7 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-08 | 10 | — | 10 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-05 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-04 | 19 | — | 19 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | 67 | — | 67 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — | — |
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$855.5K at riskTop Calls
Recent Events
P&L Calendar · 90 days
Evidence
whaleStats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
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Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.