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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 037May 20, 2026

Trader Report — IH2P

◆ Summary

IH2P has settled 84 bets on Polymarket at a 71.4% win rate for +$203K of net P&L, on $35.62M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 88% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($35.62M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 115 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades4,000
Unique markets entered115
Closed positions0
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate71.4%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)+$0
ROI (closed only)
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills88.1%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour17:00712 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$1
Mean bet$11
P95 bet$61
Max bet$804
Top 5% share47.3%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)0.0%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)28.2%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)26.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share8.1%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days15/ 28d span
Trades / active day267
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 15 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-20110W/0L
2026-05-1924240W/0L
2026-05-1841410W/0L
2026-05-175665660W/0L
2026-05-161141140W/0L
2026-05-153583580W/0L
2026-05-03110W/0L
2026-05-02880W/0L
2026-04-28330W/0L
2026-04-2744440W/0L
2026-04-268108100W/0L
2026-04-252932930W/0L
2026-04-248068060W/0L
2026-04-232902900W/0L
2026-04-226416410W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$202.9K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0x4ee2...46e1
2023 trades
55whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 71% across 84 resolved bets
₿ Strongest edge in crypto (60% WR)
Win Rate71%60/84
P&L+$202.9K
Volume$35.6M
Printing

Recent Events

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Apr 7, 26
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Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 6?
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CategoryBetsWRP&L
crypto23360%-$6.3K
Crypto92129%+$1.2K
Politics118449%-$2
Other660%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total55
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track IH2P live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0

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