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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 006May 20, 2026

Trader Report — gopfan2

◆ Summary

gopfan2 has settled 52 bets on Polymarket at a 73.1% win rate for +$1.46M of net P&L, on $60.39M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 59% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($60.39M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 96 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🧭
Generalist
A few sectors, well spread.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,423
Unique markets entered96
Closed positions0
Open positions8
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate73.1%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)+$0
ROI (closed only)
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap4sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills59.2%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00560 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$3
Mean bet$263
P95 bet$1.1K
Max bet$29.6K
Top 5% share79.9%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)7.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)40.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)6.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share17.7%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days24/ 41d span
Trades / active day167
◆ Open Positions$21.0K at risk · 8 open
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 20 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-19110W/0L
2026-05-18110W/0L
2026-05-02220W/0L
2026-04-25330W/0L
2026-04-2323230W/0L
2026-04-221631630W/0L
2026-04-2195950W/0L
2026-04-202032030W/0L
2026-04-1918180W/0L
2026-04-1819190W/0L
2026-04-171051050W/0L
2026-04-161091090W/0L
2026-04-156366360W/0L
2026-04-1478780W/0L
2026-04-1333330W/0L
2026-04-12103010300W/0L
2026-04-112082080W/0L
2026-04-1043430W/0L
2026-04-0992920W/0L
2026-04-085615610W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$1.5M
All time · per polymarket
📉
10L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0xf2f6...5817
987 trades
55whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 73% across 52 resolved bets
🧬 Strongest edge in science (100% WR)
Win Rate73%38/52
P&L+$1.5M
Volume$60.4M
Printing

Open Now

$267.3K at risk
+3 more

Top Calls

WWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?+$10.9K
WWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?+$10.3K
BBosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5+$10.1K
BBlackhawks vs. Flyers+$4.7K
WWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?+$1.7K

Recent Events

?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
W
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?
Mar 31, 26
-$9.7KLOSS
?
Mar 31, 26
$0LOSS
?
Mar 31, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
Crypto21345%-$28.9K
sports2060%+$26.5K
Politics33134%-$20.7K
Other22889%-$8.3K
us politics3450%-$2.0K
geopolitics170%-$1.8K
science6100%+$15

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 2 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total55
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track gopfan2 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
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