CrowdIntelTrader Report — Gametheory-394
Gametheory-394 has settled 59 bets on Polymarket at a 66.1% win rate for +$302K of net P&L, on $20.87M of total volume. 80% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 26s between fills, 31% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($20.87M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. 80% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Across 71 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | 224 | — | 224 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-27 | 57 | — | 57 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 163 | — | 163 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-25 | 222 | — | 222 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | 78 | — | 78 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-23 | 4 | — | 4 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | 77 | — | 77 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-21 | 287 | — | 287 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | 28 | — | 28 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-19 | 246 | — | 246 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-18 | 85 | — | 85 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | 217 | — | 217 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | 34 | — | 34 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | 326 | — | 326 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | 82 | — | 82 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-13 | 514 | — | 514 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-12 | 228 | — | 228 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-11 | 49 | — | 49 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-10 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-09 | 18 | — | 18 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-08 | 213 | — | 213 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-07 | 25 | — | 25 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-05 | 60 | 3 | 57 | 0W/3L | $6.6K | -$6.6K | — |
| 2026-04-04 | 314 | 314 | — | 1W/313L | $72.2K | -$43.4K | — |
whaleWhere the edge is · win rate by category
Profile & edge
Recent form · last 15 resolutions
Population standing — where this wallet ranks
| Market | Bet | Status | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
W Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? 3 months ago | — | Won | +$20.1K |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
W Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$39 |
W Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$2.6K |
Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.
Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.