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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 024May 20, 2026

Trader File — Flipadelphia

Flipadelphia·live profile →
◆ Summary

Flipadelphia has settled 79 bets on Polymarket at a 64.6% win rate for +$290K of net P&L, on $50.01M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 50s between fills, 31% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($50.01M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 337 unique markets across 5 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,997
Unique markets entered337
Resolved bets
Open positions0
Wins / Losses
Win rate64.6%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap50sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills31.0%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour13:00288 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$12
Mean bet$361
P95 bet$1.5K
Max bet$47.1K
Top 5% share68.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)45.7%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)36.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)4.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share20.8%of total notional
Both-sides rate5.7%of markets hedged
Active days31/ 45d span
Trades / active day129
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 30 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Flipadelphia

Flipadelphia

0x4488...e319
active 4mo ago65% WR+$289.5K PnL
Profit / Loss
+$289.5K
All time · per polymarket
Where the edge is · win rate by category
🏛️ us politics
100% ·66
other
100% ·22
🌍 geopolitics
94% ·41
sports
57% ·67
politics
33% ·52
Portfolio Value
$193.6K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate65%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$50.0M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets75179 resolved
Markets748
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 65% across 79 resolved bets
🌍 Strongest edge in geopolitics (94% WR)
Behaviour
🐋
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$17.4K average position
Consistency∞x profit factor
Edge sourceGeopolitics · 94% win rate

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

4L streak
2/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Flipadelphia live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

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Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
···v0.1.0
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Flipadelphia — Polymarket Trader File | CrowdIntel