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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 024May 20, 2026

Trader Report — Flipadelphia

Flipadelphia·live profile →
◆ Summary

Flipadelphia has settled 79 bets on Polymarket at a 64.6% win rate for +$290K of net P&L, on $50.01M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 50s between fills, 31% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($50.01M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 337 unique markets across 5 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,997
Unique markets entered337
Closed positions66
Open positions0
Wins / Losses2 / 56
Win rate64.6%
Total USDC invested$9.6K
Total USDC recovered$543
Net PnL (closed only)-$9.0K
ROI (closed only)-94.3%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap50sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills31.0%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour13:00288 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$12
Mean bet$361
P95 bet$1.5K
Max bet$47.1K
Top 5% share68.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)45.7%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)36.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)4.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share20.8%of total notional
Both-sides rate5.7%of markets hedged
Active days31/ 45d span
Trades / active day129
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-1953530W/0L
2026-05-182322320W/0L
2026-05-1735350W/0L
2026-05-161281280W/0L
2026-05-1543430W/0L
2026-05-03110W/0L
2026-05-02110W/0L
2026-04-2817170W/0L
2026-04-2698980W/0L
2026-04-2535350W/0L
2026-04-2472720W/0L
2026-04-2360600W/0L
2026-04-22440W/0L
2026-04-212312310W/0L
2026-04-2083830W/0L
2026-04-191291290W/0L
2026-04-1861610W/0L
2026-04-171901900W/0L
2026-04-1671710W/0L
2026-04-151451450W/0L
2026-04-1479790W/0L
2026-04-13330W/0L
2026-04-122822820W/0L
2026-04-111421420W/0L
2026-04-101501500W/0L
2026-04-091581580W/0L
2026-04-081531530W/0L
2026-04-0712011190W/1L$1.1K-$1.1K-100.0%
2026-04-06161481131W/47L$5.0K-$4.9K-97.7%
2026-04-05609511W/8L$3.5K-$3.0K-87.6%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$289.5K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
MEDIUMwhale
0x4488...e319
751 trades
40whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 65% across 79 resolved bets
🏛️ Strongest edge in us-politics (100% WR)
Win Rate65%51/79
P&L+$289.5K
Volume$50.0M
Printing

Top Calls

WWill Joshua Jefferson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?+$2
WWill Joshua Jefferson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?+$0

Recent Events

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Apr 7, 26
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Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
Politics5233%-$5.7K
geopolitics4194%+$5.1K
Other22100%+$5.0K
sports6757%+$1.4K
us politics66100%+$364
other60%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 1 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+15
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total40
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Flipadelphia live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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