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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 045May 20, 2026

Trader Report — ElonSpam

◆ Summary

ElonSpam has settled 125 bets on Polymarket at a 76.0% win rate for +$158K of net P&L, on $76.23M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 57% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($76.23M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 273 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,018
Unique markets entered273
Resolved bets
Open positions0
Wins / Losses
Win rate76.0%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap4sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills56.8%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00652 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$20
Mean bet$667
P95 bet$3.3K
Max bet$40.0K
Top 5% share67.5%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)50.7%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)21.8%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.4%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share4.3%of total notional
Both-sides rate1.7%of markets hedged
Active days31/ 47d span
Trades / active day129
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLHold
2026-05-20550W/0L
2026-05-1910100W/0L
2026-05-1811110W/0L
2026-05-17110W/0L
2026-05-16110W/0L
2026-05-02880W/0L
2026-04-2810100W/0L
2026-04-2754540W/0L
2026-04-261211210W/0L
2026-04-251071070W/0L
2026-04-2434340W/0L
2026-04-2369690W/0L
2026-04-2262620W/0L
2026-04-211541540W/0L
2026-04-2086860W/0L
2026-04-191221220W/0L
2026-04-1896960W/0L
2026-04-1629290W/0L
2026-04-1548480W/0L
2026-04-142082080W/0L
2026-04-132482480W/0L
2026-04-121701700W/0L
2026-04-112672670W/0L
2026-04-102202200W/0L
2026-04-091651650W/0L
2026-04-082312310W/0L
2026-04-0711947721W/46L$28.6K-$25.0K
2026-04-067010601W/9L$31.8K-$24.1K
2026-04-0511192191W/91L$30.5K-$30.1K
2026-04-041471470W/147L$55.6K-$55.6K
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
ElonSpam
whale
ElonSpam
0x5116...58c4
Profit / Loss
+$157.8K
All time · per polymarket
55whale score

Where the edge is · win rate by category

📱 social media
95% ·80
sports
74% ·190
crypto
14% ·14
other
5% ·279
Portfolio Value
$456.9K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate76%
Profit Factor0.29
Confidence96%
Population Z-2.1σ
Volume$76.2M
Avg PnL / Prediction+$1.3K
Bets1152125 resolved
Markets1145
Avg Position$4.9K
Max Drawdown-$2.2K
active 3mo ago76% WR+$157.8K PnL

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 76% across 125 resolved bets
📱 Strongest edge in social-media (95% WR)

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

15L streak
0/15 won · newest first

Population standing — where this wallet ranks

MarketBetStatusPnL
7
76ers vs. Spurs
3 months ago
Won+$631
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
L
Lakers vs. Mavericks
3 months ago
Lost-$2.2K
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track ElonSpam live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
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