Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 045May 20, 2026

Trader Report — ElonSpam

◆ Summary

ElonSpam has settled 125 bets on Polymarket at a 76.0% win rate for +$158K of net P&L, on $76.23M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 57% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($76.23M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 273 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,018
Unique markets entered273
Closed positions449
Open positions0
Wins / Losses3 / 293
Win rate76.0%
Total USDC invested$188.3K
Total USDC recovered$11.7K
Net PnL (closed only)-$176.6K
ROI (closed only)-93.8%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap4sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills56.8%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00652 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$20
Mean bet$667
P95 bet$3.3K
Max bet$40.0K
Top 5% share67.5%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)50.7%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)21.8%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)1.4%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share4.3%of total notional
Both-sides rate1.7%of markets hedged
Active days31/ 47d span
Trades / active day129
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-20550W/0L
2026-05-1910100W/0L
2026-05-1811110W/0L
2026-05-17110W/0L
2026-05-16110W/0L
2026-05-02880W/0L
2026-04-2810100W/0L
2026-04-2754540W/0L
2026-04-261211210W/0L
2026-04-251071070W/0L
2026-04-2434340W/0L
2026-04-2369690W/0L
2026-04-2262620W/0L
2026-04-211541540W/0L
2026-04-2086860W/0L
2026-04-191221220W/0L
2026-04-1896960W/0L
2026-04-1629290W/0L
2026-04-1548480W/0L
2026-04-142082080W/0L
2026-04-132482480W/0L
2026-04-121701700W/0L
2026-04-112672670W/0L
2026-04-102202200W/0L
2026-04-091651650W/0L
2026-04-082312310W/0L
2026-04-0711947721W/46L$28.6K-$25.0K-87.6%
2026-04-067010601W/9L$31.8K-$24.1K-75.6%
2026-04-0511192191W/91L$30.5K-$30.1K-98.7%
2026-04-041471470W/147L$55.6K-$55.6K-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$157.8K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0x5116...58c4
1152 trades
55whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 76% across 125 resolved bets
◆ Strongest edge in other (100% WR)
Win Rate76%95/125
P&L+$157.8K
Volume$76.2M
Printing

Top Calls

776ers vs. Spurs+$631

Recent Events

?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports19074%-$7.7K
social media8095%+$1.4K
other13100%+$679
Crypto1414%-$123
Other2660%
geopolitics230%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total55
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track ElonSpam live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
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