Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 039May 20, 2026

Trader File — daroghi

◆ Summary

daroghi has settled 1,282 bets on Polymarket at a 81.1% win rate for +$185K of net P&L, on $104.33M of total volume.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($104.33M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 865 unique markets across 0 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
Resolution timing data unavailable for this window.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades1,832
Unique markets entered725
Resolved bets1,282
Open positions0
Wins / Losses1,040 / 242
Win rate81.1%
Total volume$104.3M
Net PnL+$184.8K
ROI+0.2%
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap6sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills64.3%machine-tempo
Hour coverage83%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour19:00514 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$4
Mean bet$9
P95 bet$29
Max bet$59
Top 5% share18.3%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)53.2%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)11.2%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)7.5%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share3.6%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days4/ 6d span
Trades / active day1000
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 4 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 4 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
daroghi

daroghi

0xf0b0...8cab
active 4mo ago81% WR+$184.8K PnL
Profit / Loss
+$184.8K
All time · per polymarket · curve from Apr 7

Where the edge is · win rate by category

💰 finance
42% ·11254
other
42% ·39167
politics
41% ·66232
🔬 tech
41% ·496
Portfolio Value
$6.4K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate81%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor17.58
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$104.3M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets342971282 resolved
Markets33020
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 81% across 1282 resolved bets
Behaviour
🗿
The Chad
Statistically superior. Methodically profitable.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$706 average position
Consistency17.58x profit factor
Edge sourceNo proven category edge

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

9L streak
1/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 26, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track daroghi live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback