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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 043May 20, 2026

Trader Report — BuyHighStayHigh

BuyHighStayHigh·live profile →
◆ Summary

BuyHighStayHigh has settled 69 bets on Polymarket at a 73.9% win rate for +$161K of net P&L, on $11.67M of total volume. 55% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($11.67M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. 55% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Spread across 149 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: mid-band directional bettor · both-sides hedger.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
mid-band directional bettor · both-sides hedger
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,437
Unique markets entered149
Closed positions126
Open positions0
Wins / Losses6 / 73
Win rate73.9%
Total USDC invested$3.1K
Total USDC recovered$737
Net PnL (closed only)-$2.3K
ROI (closed only)-75.9%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap10sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills49.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage75%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour16:00695 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$10
Mean bet$72
P95 bet$380
Max bet$1.8K
Top 5% share50.9%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)0.0%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)55.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)5.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share7.1%of total notional
Both-sides rate36.8%of markets hedged
Active days9/ 41d span
Trades / active day444
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 9 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-171811810W/0L
2026-05-161061060W/0L
2026-05-155035030W/0L
2026-04-181531530W/0L
2026-04-1793930W/0L
2026-04-153483480W/0L
2026-04-144224220W/0L
2026-04-134774770W/0L
2026-04-0615479756W/73L$3.1K-$2.3K-75.9%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$160.6K
All time · per polymarket
📉
7L
losing run
MEDIUM
0x7a78...add7
224 trades
40whale score
Elite win rate — 74% across 69 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (63% WR)
Win Rate74%51/69
P&L+$160.6K
Volume$11.7M
Printing

Top Calls

CCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage+$37
GGames Total: O/U 2.5+$30
GGames Total: O/U 2.5+$24
GGames Total: O/U 2.5+$2

Recent Events

?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
G
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Apr 6, 26
+$30WIN
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
geopolitics47157%+$7.1K
sports8163%+$233

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Activity Level+10
Total40
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track BuyHighStayHigh live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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