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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 010May 20, 2026

Trader Report — Andromeda1

Andromeda1·live profile →
◆ Summary

Andromeda1 has settled 30 bets on Polymarket at a 60.0% win rate for +$563K of net P&L, on $21.14M of total volume. 68% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 7s between fills, 53% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($21.14M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. 68% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Spread across 315 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,905
Unique markets entered315
Closed positions1,175
Open positions3
Wins / Losses2 / 399
Win rate60.0%
Total USDC invested$607.8K
Total USDC recovered$100.1K
Net PnL (closed only)-$507.9K
ROI (closed only)-83.6%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap7sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills52.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour15:00525 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$19
Mean bet$519
P95 bet$2.1K
Max bet$39.1K
Top 5% share77.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)3.5%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)68.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)2.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share6.8%of total notional
Both-sides rate6.1%of markets hedged
Active days36/ 54d span
Trades / active day111
◆ Open Positions$204 at risk · 3 open
Houston Astros@45¢$196held 30.3d · since 4/19/2026
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-18330W/0L
2026-05-172492490W/0L
2026-05-1655550W/0L
2026-05-1558580W/0L
2026-04-2819190W/0L
2026-04-271911910W/0L
2026-04-2621210W/0L
2026-04-2513130W/0L
2026-04-2426260W/0L
2026-04-2338380W/0L
2026-04-2246460W/0L
2026-04-21220W/0L
2026-04-20110W/0L
2026-04-194924920W/0L
2026-04-1845450W/0L
2026-04-171991990W/0L
2026-04-1678780W/0L
2026-04-1569690W/0L
2026-04-141521520W/0L
2026-04-131411410W/0L
2026-04-1261610W/0L
2026-04-111401400W/0L
2026-04-1078780W/0L
2026-04-0967670W/0L
2026-04-0878780W/0L
2026-04-0733330W/0L
2026-04-0615031470W/3L$33.7K-$33.7K-100.0%
2026-04-057554210W/54L$3.5K-$3.5K-100.0%
2026-04-0434233392W/331L$52.0K-$45.2K-87.0%
2026-04-03121110W/11L$22.5K-$22.5K-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$563.2K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
MEDIUMwhale
0x3993...cded
51 trades
25insider score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 60% across 30 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (64% WR)
Win Rate60%18/30
P&L+$563.2K
Volume$21.1M
Printing

Open Now

$212.8K at risk

Recent Events

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Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
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Apr 6, 26
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Apr 6, 26
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M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
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Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
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M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
M
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
geopolitics3150%+$82.7K
sports3264%-$7.9K

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

insider
Total25
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Andromeda1 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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