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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 036May 20, 2026

Trader Report — Aceplus1

◆ Summary

Aceplus1 has settled 59 bets on Polymarket at a 66.1% win rate for +$203K of net P&L, on $35.53M of total volume.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($35.53M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 20 markets total. 8-signal classification: tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🧭
Generalist
A few sectors, well spread.
Strategy verdict
tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,416
Unique markets entered20
Closed positions0
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate66.1%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)+$0
ROI (closed only)
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap2sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills76.4%machine-tempo
Hour coverage42%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour01:001,121 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$60
Mean bet$501
P95 bet$2.1K
Max bet$62.5K
Top 5% share45.6%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)46.1%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)25.3%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share20.0%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days13/ 28d span
Trades / active day308
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 12 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-203303300W/0L
2026-05-193393390W/0L
2026-05-184004000W/0L
2026-05-165505500W/0L
2026-05-151441440W/0L
2026-05-02110W/0L
2026-04-2865650W/0L
2026-04-2711110W/0L
2026-04-2693930W/0L
2026-04-2545450W/0L
2026-04-243073070W/0L
2026-04-231311310W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$203.1K
All time · per polymarket
📉
13L
losing run
MEDIUMwhale
0xff12...09f9
130 trades
40whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 66% across 59 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (70% WR)
Win Rate66%39/59
P&L+$203.1K
Volume$35.5M
Printing

Top Calls

TTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets+$955
TTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets+$955
TTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets+$825
TTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets+$455
TTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets+$147

Recent Events

T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
T
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports72670%-$15.2K

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+15
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total40
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Aceplus1 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
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Beta
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