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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 036May 20, 2026

Trader File — Aceplus1

◆ Summary

Aceplus1 has settled 59 bets on Polymarket at a 66.1% win rate for +$203K of net P&L, on $35.53M of total volume.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($35.53M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 20 markets total. 8-signal classification: tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
Resolution timing data unavailable for this window.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🔭
Specialist
Concentrated focus. Domain bet.
Strategy verdict
tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,462
Unique markets entered8
Resolved bets59
Open positions0
Wins / Losses39 / 20
Win rate66.1%
Total volume$35.5M
Net PnL+$203.1K
ROI+0.6%
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap2sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills79.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage33%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour01:001,580 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$71
Mean bet$444
P95 bet$2.2K
Max bet$8.0K
Top 5% share37.7%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)29.0%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)29.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.8%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share21.1%of total notional
Both-sides rate100.0%of markets hedged
Active days7/ 7d span
Trades / active day571
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 7 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 7 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Aceplus1

Aceplus1

0xff12...09f9
active 4mo ago66% WR+$203.1K PnL
Profit / Loss
+$203.1K
All time · per polymarket
Where the edge is · win rate by category
sports
70% ·726
Portfolio Value
$517.6K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate66%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor2.27
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$35.5M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets13059 resolved
Markets80
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 66% across 60 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (70% WR)
Behaviour
🤖
The Bot
Mechanical precision. Suspiciously consistent.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$6.4K average position
Consistency2.27x profit factor
Edge sourceNo proven category edge

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

3L streak
2/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 26, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Aceplus1 live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

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Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
···v0.1.0
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