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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 009May 20, 2026

Trader Report — Account88888

Account88888·live profile →
◆ Summary

Account88888 has settled 50 bets on Polymarket at a 96.0% win rate for +$647K of net P&L, on $119.62M of total volume. 98% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 81% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($119.62M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. The price-band distribution is the tell: 98% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 635 unique markets across 1 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades4,000
Unique markets entered635
Closed positions627
Open positions8
Wins / Losses10 / 617
Win rate96.0%
Total USDC invested$213.7K
Total USDC recovered$59.5K
Net PnL (closed only)-$154.3K
ROI (closed only)-72.2%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills80.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00384 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$11
Mean bet$191
P95 bet$1.0K
Max bet$9.8K
Top 5% share63.3%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)97.8%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)0.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share2.6%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days10/ 21d span
Trades / active day400
◆ Open Positions$12.5K at risk · 8 open
Up@99¢$220held 36.7d · since 4/13/2026
Up@98¢$2.4Kheld 35.9d · since 4/14/2026
Down@99¢$2.0Kheld 37.4d · since 4/12/2026
Up@1¢$0held 36.2d · since 4/14/2026
Up@99¢$2.0Kheld 37.3d · since 4/12/2026
Up@98¢$2.0Kheld 37.6d · since 4/12/2026
Up@99¢$2.0Kheld 37.6d · since 4/12/2026
Down@98¢$1.9Kheld 37.2d · since 4/12/2026
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 10 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-04-143003000W/0L
2026-04-131291290W/0L
2026-04-122772770W/0L
2026-04-111831830W/0L
2026-04-106486480W/0L
2026-04-098978970W/0L
2026-04-087077070W/0L
2026-04-0715341491W/3L$1.2K-$1.1K-91.6%
2026-03-25548465837W/458L$176.5K-$124.1K-70.3%
2026-03-241581582W/156L$36.0K-$29.2K-81.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$646.5K
All time · per polymarket
MEDIUMbot
0x7f69...6162
96 trades
43whale score
Automated strategy — pattern-based trading
Elite win rate — 96% across 50 resolved bets
₿ Strongest edge in crypto (98% WR)
Win Rate96%48/50
P&L+$646.5K
Volume$119.6M
Printing

Open Now

$103.1K at risk
+3 more
2L streak
recent

Top Calls

BBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET+$183
BBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET+$2

Recent Events

?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Apr 7, 26
+$2WIN
?
Apr 7, 26
$0LOSS
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Mar 25, 26
-$9.8KLOSS
?
Mar 25, 26
$0LOSS
?
Mar 25, 26
$0LOSS
?
Mar 25, 26
$0LOSS
?
Mar 25, 26
$0LOSS
?
Mar 25, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
crypto10198%-$6.4K

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+34
Bot Discount-11
Total Volume+10
Activity Level+10
Total43
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Account88888 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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