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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 018May 20, 2026

Trader Report — 0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6

0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6·live profile →
◆ Summary

0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6 has settled 231 bets on Polymarket at a 81.8% win rate for +$333K of net P&L, on $28.69M of total volume. 92% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 81% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($28.69M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 92% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 217 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,935
Unique markets entered217
Closed positions0
Open positions0
Wins / Losses0 / 0
Win rate81.8%
Total USDC invested$0
Total USDC recovered$0
Net PnL (closed only)+$0
ROI (closed only)
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills80.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour02:00878 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$5
Mean bet$105
P95 bet$493
Max bet$10.0K
Top 5% share68.6%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)92.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)5.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share14.2%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days8/ 25d span
Trades / active day500
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 8 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-20110W/0L
2026-05-1917170W/0L
2026-05-1722220W/0L
2026-05-1638380W/0L
2026-05-1530300W/0L
2026-04-28127412740W/0L
2026-04-27113711370W/0L
2026-04-26141614160W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$332.9K
All time · per polymarket
📉
15L
losing run
HIGHwhale
0x45bc...978b
622 trades
55whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 82% across 231 resolved bets
🌍 Strongest edge in geopolitics (100% WR)
2 linked wallets — part of a coordinated cluster
Win Rate82%189/231
P&L+$332.9K
Volume$28.7M
Printing

Top Calls

BBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET+$9
Cluster Intel2 wallets linked via funding

Recent Events

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CategoryBetsWRP&L
crypto90978%+$2.0K
other4100%+$318
geopolitics30100%+$42

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 100% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Win Rate+30
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total55
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track 0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

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Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

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Beta
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