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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BEARISH(7)Sharps SELL · crowd BUY
Volume
3.4M
Traders
2,512
Trades
19,432
Last trade
about 3 hours ago
first 4 months ago
50¢Yes0¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 19.4K buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR72%15 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 62% vs sellers 82% WR
Whale Flow
BEARISH7 whales · 119.6K vol
BUY 0
SELL 119.6K
Buy side
0%
Sell side
100%
Order Flow
Buys
66% · 10,730
1.9M
Sells
34% · 8,702
969K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
5.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$1006.0¢+0.0
$5006.0¢+0.0
$1K6.0¢+0.0

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

2,512 whale wallets have traded "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $3.35M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 19,432 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 66% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to GoriIIa at $327K. CrowdIntel has flagged 50 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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