Question 1

Who is betting on "Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?" on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

422 unique whale wallets have placed 1001 trades on "Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?", moving $168K in total volume. CrowdIntel tracks each trader's win rate, PnL and funding trail.

Question 2

What does whale sentiment say about "Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?"?

Accepted Answer

Whale buy-side volume is 53% of total traded volume on this market ($110K buys vs $98K sells). This reflects capital flow, not final odds.

Question 3

How does CrowdIntel detect insider trading on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

A gated 0–100 insider score — a trade only scores if the wallet bought an outcome the market priced at 35c or below. Past that gate, seven components set the number: entry-depth tier, wallet skill z-score and fresh-wallet concentration, against four penalties for bot behaviour, negative PnL, oversized funding clusters and infrastructure funders. Weights are fit to measured edge — win rate minus entry price — across roughly 6,800 resolved alerts, not hand-tuned. Signals that measured negative on resolved outcomes, including bet size, market category and timing clusters, were removed rather than down-weighted. Trades scoring ≥65 are flagged as potential insider activity.

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

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