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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsResolved: YesWhales NEUTRAL(37)
Volume
503.1K
Traders
3,734
Trades
9,602
Resolved
15 minutes ago
first about 1 month ago
25¢Yes75¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean YES1 proven wallet · 28K buys
YES 100%
NO 0%
Avg Holder WR68%13 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 75% vs sellers 60% WR
Whale Flow
NEUTRAL37 whales · 73.7K vol
BUY 38.8K
SELL 34.9K
Buy side
53%
Sell side
47%
Order Flow
Buys
79% · 6,759
399.8K
Sells
21% · 2,843
103.4K

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

3,734 whale wallets have traded "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?" on Polymarket, moving $503K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 9,602 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 79% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to SlenderMan at $144K. CrowdIntel has flagged 27 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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