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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsResolved: NoWhales BULLISH(31)
Volume
261K
Traders
523
Trades
4,879
Resolved
5 days ago
first 5 months ago
50¢Yes24¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 261.1 buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR62%7 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 63% vs sellers 60% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH31 whales · 92K vol
BUY 85.1K
SELL 6.9K
Buy side
93%
Sell side
7%
Order Flow
Buys
86% · 3,641
224.7K
Sells
14% · 1,238
36.3K

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About this market

523 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?" on Polymarket, moving $261K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 4,879 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 86% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to ThanksGivingTurkey1001 at $44K. CrowdIntel has flagged 39 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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