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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(80)Sharps SELL · crowd BUY
Volume
11.9M
Traders
2,177
Trades
120,713
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first about 1 year ago
45¢Yes
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 6K buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR46%6 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 35% vs sellers 56% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH80 whales · 427.1K vol
BUY 301.4K
SELL 125.7K
Buy side
71%
Sell side
29%
Order Flow
Buys
71% · 74,604
1.7M
Sells
29% · 46,109
699K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
41.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10042.0¢+0.0
$50042.0¢+0.0
$1K42.0¢+0.0

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About this market

2,177 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" on Polymarket, moving $11.92M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 120,713 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 71% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to 0x7c75…4d1d at $164K. CrowdIntel has flagged 25 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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