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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(43)
Volume
7.1M
Traders
876
Trades
97,174
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first 11 months ago
63¢Yes6¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Avg Holder WR47%6 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 48% vs sellers 46% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH43 whales · 175.1K vol
BUY 143.9K
SELL 31.2K
Buy side
82%
Sell side
18%
Order Flow
Buys
71% · 59,241
436.9K
Sells
29% · 37,933
179.4K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
63.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10064.0¢+0.0
$50064.0¢+0.0
$1K64.0¢+0.0

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About this market

876 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" on Polymarket, moving $7.06M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 97,174 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 71% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to TheReturnOfDarthMaul at $50K. CrowdIntel has flagged 28 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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