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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(42)
Volume
559.9K
Traders
704
Trades
12,290
Last trade
about 4 hours ago
first 7 months ago
50¢Yes
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO2 proven wallets · 2.1K buys
YES 4%
NO 96%
Avg Holder WR59%9 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 70% vs sellers 45% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH42 whales · 155.3K vol
BUY 120.5K
SELL 34.8K
Buy side
78%
Sell side
22%
Order Flow
Buys
79% · 7,670
398.9K
Sells
21% · 4,620
106.6K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
21.1¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10022.0¢+0.4
$50022.4¢+0.8
$1K22.7¢+1.1

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About this market

704 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" on Polymarket, moving $560K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 12,290 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 79% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to Haradwaith at $30K. CrowdIntel has flagged 50 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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