Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

285 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?" on Polymarket, moving $183K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 2,561 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 88% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to classified at $51K. CrowdIntel has flagged 9 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.