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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Polymarket Galaxyus-politicsActiveWhales BULLISH(18)
Volume
109.1K
Traders
212
Trades
3,188
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first 15 days ago
25¢Yes0¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Avg Holder WR65%7 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 69% vs sellers 28% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH18 whales · 12.1K vol
BUY 11.6K
SELL 504.9
Buy side
96%
Sell side
4%
Order Flow
Buys
98% · 2,232
108.4K
Sells
2% · 956
2.2K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
0.7¢spread 0.1¢
Buy impact
$1001.5¢+0.8
$5003.7¢+3.0
$1K5.3¢+4.6

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

212 whale wallets have traded "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?" on Polymarket, moving $109K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 3,188 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 98% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to donthackme at $25K. CrowdIntel has flagged 18 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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