Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

553 whale wallets have traded "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?" on Polymarket, moving $233K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 5,885 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 73% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to 0x04fb…5968 at $11K. CrowdIntel has flagged 33 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.