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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on PolymarketgeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(56)
Volume
$3,926,928
Total Bets
79459
Unique Traders
6181
Avg Price
42c
Buy / Sell
54%/46%
Alerts
50
Volume Sentiment
YES 2.2M
NO 1.7M
Smart Money Intelligence
Whale Sentiment
BULLISH
56 whales
Whale Volume
157.8K
YES 77% / NO 23%
Avg Holder WR
61%
19 with data
First trade: 9 months agoLast: 21 minutes ago
WalletScoreSideSizeWhen
MED 40NO$222about 2 months ago
HIGH 50YES$162about 8 hours ago
MED 40NO$434about 2 months ago
MED 25YES$398about 1 month ago
HIGH 55YES$398about 1 month ago
HIGH 55YES$322about 17 hours ago
HIGH 50NO$106about 17 hours ago
HIGH 55YES$1,669about 18 hours ago
HIGH 55YES$1,145about 1 month ago
MED 35YES$156about 2 months ago
MED 40YES$118about 2 months ago
MED 40NO$2741 day ago
MED 40NO$6041 day ago
MED 40YES$399about 1 month ago
HIGH 55YES$111about 1 month ago
HIGH 50NO$201about 2 months ago
MED 40NO$200about 1 month ago
MED 35YES$487about 1 month ago
MED 40NO$200about 1 month ago
MED 25YES$1,577about 2 months ago
MED 40NO$430about 2 months ago
HIGH 55YES$2751 day ago
HIGH 55YES$5381 day ago
HIGH 55YES$4421 day ago
MED 40YES$2831 day ago
MED 40NO$144about 2 months ago
HIGH 55YES$2751 day ago
HIGH 55YES$4341 day ago
MED 40NO$1432 months ago
HIGH 55NO$3142 days ago
MED 40NO$1952 months ago
MED 25YES$1002 months ago
MED 40YES$9432 months ago
MED 25YES$1622 months ago
MED 25YES$4752 months ago
MED 25YES$657about 1 month ago
MED 20YES$1122 months ago
MED 40YES$4272 months ago
MED 40YES$2182 months ago
MED 25YES$4932 months ago
MED 40YES$1,5522 months ago
MED 35YES$1432 months ago
MED 25YES$2,6983 days ago
MED 40YES$74418 days ago
MED 40YES$2022 months ago
MED 25YES$8464 days ago
MED 40YES$1372 months ago
MED 30YES$1,5002 months ago
MED 25YES$1504 days ago
MED 25YES$7104 days ago
WalletSidePriceSizeTime
0xd4d876a7NO73¢$1121 minutes ago
0xf7eaca01YES27¢$521 minutes ago
0x21ff0d71NO74¢$4421 minutes ago
0xc03c50afYES26¢$2521 minutes ago
0xeab5f570YES27¢$644 minutes ago
0xf7eaca01YES27¢$544 minutes ago
0xc03c50afYES27¢$1144 minutes ago
0xeab5f570YES27¢$144 minutes ago
0xc03c50afYES27¢$144 minutes ago
0x6406bc04NO73¢$2644 minutes ago
0xf7eaca01YES27¢$544 minutes ago
0xc03c50afYES27¢$1544 minutes ago
0xeab5f570YES27¢$7about 1 hour ago
0x6406bc04NO73¢$48about 1 hour ago
0xc03c50afYES27¢$24about 1 hour ago
0x936a7a5aNO73¢$26about 1 hour ago
0x13fa954cYES27¢$10about 1 hour ago
0x13fa954cYES27¢$2about 1 hour ago
0xa667ceb3NO73¢$6about 1 hour ago
0x936a7a5aNO73¢$1about 1 hour ago

About this market

6,181 whale wallets have traded "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" on Polymarket, moving $3.93M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 79459 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 57% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to unknwnfnd at $102K. CrowdIntel has flagged 50 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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