Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

604 whale wallets have traded "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?" on Polymarket, moving $340K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 3,747 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 77% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to balthazar at $23K. CrowdIntel has flagged 23 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.