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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Polymarket Galaxyus-politicsActiveWhales BULLISH(21)Sharps SELL · crowd BUY
Volume
240.5K
Traders
258
Trades
3,602
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first 13 days ago
2¢Yes48¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 368.5 buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR67%9 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 64% vs sellers 75% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH21 whales · 86.3K vol
BUY 82.4K
SELL 3.9K
Buy side
95%
Sell side
5%
Order Flow
Buys
95% · 2,585
232.8K
Sells
5% · 1,017
12.2K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
3.0¢spread 0.1¢
Buy impact
$1003.5¢+0.4
$5004.0¢+0.9
$1K4.4¢+1.3

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About this market

258 whale wallets have traded "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?" on Polymarket, moving $241K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 3,602 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 95% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to balthazar at $42K. CrowdIntel has flagged 8 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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